Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008560 0.009616 0.010776 0.012145 0.013724 0.015493 0.017633
2025-04-27 0.007074 0.008537 0.010285 0.012542 0.015405 0.018948 0.023715
2025-05-04 0.006115 0.007729 0.009765 0.012555 0.016332 0.021341 0.028616
2025-05-11 0.005474 0.007178 0.009425 0.012657 0.017275 0.023769 0.033846
2025-05-18 0.004907 0.006632 0.008991 0.012525 0.017810 0.025629 0.038485
2025-05-25 0.004525 0.006283 0.008769 0.012632 0.018661 0.028014 0.044265
2025-06-01 0.004147 0.005894 0.008436 0.012518 0.019129 0.029831 0.049387
2025-06-08 0.003748 0.005433 0.007944 0.012089 0.019022 0.030670 0.052918
2025-06-15 0.003516 0.005198 0.007769 0.012133 0.019682 0.032864 0.059259
2025-06-22 0.003400 0.005130 0.007841 0.012582 0.021074 0.036524 0.069066
2025-06-29 0.003157 0.004840 0.007529 0.012341 0.021205 0.037873 0.074454
2025-07-06 0.002933 0.004563 0.007215 0.012063 0.021227 0.038999 0.079562
2025-07-13 0.002758 0.004361 0.007023 0.012012 0.021726 0.041257 0.087934
2025-07-20 0.002669 0.004299 0.007071 0.012408 0.023163 0.045703 0.102566
2025-07-27 0.002529 0.004137 0.006924 0.012420 0.023822 0.048591 0.114107
2025-08-03 0.002416 0.004011 0.006831 0.012521 0.024674 0.052048 0.128040
2025-08-10 0.002281 0.003837 0.006633 0.012391 0.025007 0.054349 0.139427
2025-08-17 0.002189 0.003733 0.006556 0.012497 0.025874 0.058087 0.156045
2025-08-24 0.002077 0.003584 0.006383 0.012384 0.026225 0.060596 0.169686
2025-08-31 0.001938 0.003376 0.006078 0.011960 0.025791 0.061003 0.176745
2025-09-07 0.001862 0.003283 0.005993 0.012004 0.026489 0.064559 0.195489
2025-09-14 0.001834 0.003279 0.006084 0.012447 0.028236 0.071358 0.228113
2025-09-21 0.001739 0.003136 0.005883 0.012209 0.028220 0.073101 0.242610